The name of the new British prime minister will be announced this Wednesday, July 24. It is still unclear who will head the British government instead of Theresa May. The intrigue is still there and it's unclear who will win, either it will be former Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson or incumbent Foreign Secretary Jeremy Hunt. Opinion polls indicate that Johnson is likely to win. However, the last word is to be said by 160,000 members of the Conservative Party, who will cast electronic ballots at the election of the party leader who will by default become the British prime minister.
The election of the new Tory leader and prime minister mixed up things in the Conservative Party and just aggravated the political crisis in the country. For example, one of the most influential Tories, finance minister Philip Hammond, didn't wait until July 24 and announced his resignation in an interview with the BBC One's Andrew Marr Show on Sunday. Another prominent Conservative Party member, Justice Secretary David Gauke, confirmed on Sunday that he was going to resign on Wednesday before the next prime minister takes office, the Sunday Times reported citing the politician's statement.
The chancellor of the exchequer and the justice secretary named the possible rise of Boris Johnson to power as the reason for their resignations. Both Hammond and Gauke don't see eye to eye with the ex-foreign secretary that Brexit should be done before October 31, be it with or without the deal with Brussels. Hammond and Gauke believe that Brexit without the deal with the EU will have negative implications for the future of the United Kingdom and will burden the country's economy, as in any case traditional trade chains with Europe will be torn.
It is hard to say what Britain will face in the future. However, the new prime minister is believed to first of all get assurances from Brussels that he is ready to agree on a compromise deal and to a new Brexit delay proposed by the EU. This would provide for an orderly Brexit and the national economy would not be shocked and seriously damaged. But this is unlikely to happen under Johnson or Hunt, who are both advocating hard Brexit.
Noteworthy, opponents of the UK's withdrawal from the EU without a deal are very much concerned that hard Brexit may result in mass riots across Britain, as well as prison riots due to the lack of food and medicines, if measures to tackle unforeseen situations aren't taken. This conclusion is drawn in a Brexit agreement signed between the Ministry of Justice and the consulting company Ernst&Young.
One should understand that Boris Jonson, the frontrunner of the race for the post of the Tory leader and prime minister, is going to hold early general election in the UK by summer 2020. The Times reported the news last week citing advocates of former foreign secretary. "There's a desire to get this done while [Jeremy] Corbyn is still around. Labor is utterly divided - Brexit is killing them. Labor is in no fit state to fight a general election," one of Johnson's supporters said.
The Tories want to protect the new prime minister from the vote of no confidence for at least one year to allow him to stay in power until the general election, the TV channel Sky News reported on Friday. However, these are just blueprints that are to be confirmed by members of the influential 1922 Committee that brings together both Tory backbenchers and those Conservatives who are electing their new leader. But these are just possible development in Britain.
So far chaos and uncertainty reign in the country. Queen Elizabeth II could be dragged into politics for the first time over the past 88 years because of Brexit. The queen in the UK reigns but doesn't rule. This is a cornerstone of the British political system. But the crisis in which the system found itself due to the Brexit decision prompts some members of the ruling Conservative Party who oppose Brexit to seriously think about asking the queen to take power if Boris Jonson becomes prime minister. They are discussing a possibility of adopting a humble address to Queen Elizabeth II in the House of Commons asking her to attend the EU summit in Brussels this autumn as the head of state and seek a new Brexit delay.
So, opponents of Boris Johnson in the Conservative Party hope to hinder hard Brexit and deliver a kind of a response "nuclear strike" to Eurosceptics. However, it should be noted that this measure is rather a tool of influencing Johnson's supporters than a real plan, as the Buckingham Palace is unlikely to make such a move.